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Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory Advance Access originally published online on August 9, 2006
Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory 2007 17(2):235-258; doi:10.1093/jopart/mul003
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© The Author 2006. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org.

Determinants of Bureaucratic Turnover Intention: Evidence from the Department of the Treasury

Anthony M. Bertelli

University of Georgia

Address correspondence to the author at bertelli{at}uga.edu.

This study employs a novel statistical strategy to examine the determinants of turnover intention in government service. To appropriately measure a main determinant of turnover intention—functional preferences—I estimate an ordinal item response model using data from the Federal Human Capital Survey. The sample is selected to facilitate an important comparison: the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) has undergone significant performance-based pay reforms for supervisors, but not for nonsupervisors, whereas the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), also a subunit of the U.S. Treasury, has not. Inferential models of turnover intention reveal among other things that functional and friendship solidary preferences are important determinants of turnover intention, but increased accountability is associated with greater turnover among subordinates. IRS supervisors, who face paybanding, are significantly less likely to consider leaving than their counterparts in the OCC, who do not face such incentives.

I would like to thank Shawn Treier, Hal Rainey, Laurence O'Toole, J. Edward Kellough, Andrew Whitford, and an anonymous reviewer for helpful discussions. David Ballard and Ellen Rubin provided invaluable research assistance.


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